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This article originally appeared in American Management Association Magazine on February 1, 2014

There’s an old joke about two economists walking down the street: One sees a $20 bill lying on the sidewalk and points it out; the other person, a believer in efficient markets, says, “That’s impossible. If it was really there, someone would have already picked it up.”

But what if I told you there was a billion dollars on the sidewalk in front of you


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